FPList - Hull City vs Brentford

Hull CityvsBrentford

Sunday 25 October at 14:003difficulty for HUL2difficulty for BRE

Best pick of the match

Top projected return

Schade

BRE · Midfielder · Away

Projected

5.9 pts

Price

£6.2m

Owned

11.8%

Fixture

2/5

xG: 1.52
xA: 0.32
DefCon: 7%
This season: 39 pts

Best by position, across both squads

One name per position, whichever club they play for.

Best Goalkeeper

Tzolakis

HUL · Goalkeeper · Home

Projected

4.6 pts

Price

£4.7m

Owned

12.8%

Fixture

3/5

Best Defender

Schuster

BRE · Defender · Away

Projected

4.5 pts

Price

£4.5m

Owned

0.3%

Fixture

2/5

Best Midfielder

Schade

BRE · Midfielder · Away

Projected

5.9 pts

Price

£6.2m

Owned

11.8%

Fixture

2/5

Best Forward

Thiago

BRE · Forward · Away

Projected

2.8 pts

Price

£7.8m

Owned

9.1%

Fixture

2/5

Head to head

HULBRE

Attacking threat
Defensive contribution
Best single return
Squad fitness

Match sheet

Every fixture this gameweek →

FPL projection from our fixture model — the same numbers player cards use, scored in public. Goals by the two sides are treated as independent. That flatters both-to-score in open games and understates it in sieges.Two Poissons: each club's expected goals conceded per 90, stretched by FPL's own fixture difficulty, then every 0-6 scoreline added up.

These are probabilities from our model, not a confirmation and not a betting tip. Football is noisy. We will be wrong. We score ourselves in public.

A full coupon can list 200+ lines for one match. Most of those are the same few questions repeated with extra knobs. We only answer the questions our data can support: result, clean sheets, who scores, who assists, and how many goals the game is likely to contain.

Result projection

HUL 26% · draw 26% · BRE 47%

Every scoreline in the 0-6 grid, summed into home / draw / away.

Match climate

Medium

2.5 expected goals in total

0–128%
2–347%
4+25%

Both teams' expected goals added together, then split into 0-1, 2-3, and 4+ total goals.

Clean sheets

HUL23%
BRE36%

Matches the goalkeepers' cards by construction.

Teams to score

Club	≥1	Exactly 1	2+	Likely
HUL	64%	37%	28%	exactly one
BRE	77%	34%	44%	two or more

Both to score: 50%

HUL · anytime attacking return

McBurnie · likely starter24%goal 22% · assist 3%
≥1 1 2+ Likely
Goals 22% 19% 3% none
Assists 3% 3% 0% none
Belloumi · probable20%goal 13% · assist 8%
≥1 1 2+ Likely
Goals 13% 12% 1% none
Assists 8% 8% 0% none
Slater · probable14%goal 4% · assist 11%
≥1 1 2+ Likely
Goals 4% 4% 0% none
Assists 11% 10% 1% none

	≥1	1	2+	Likely
Goals	22%	19%	3%	none
Assists	3%	3%	0%	none

	≥1	1	2+	Likely
Goals	13%	12%	1%	none
Assists	8%	8%	0%	none

	≥1	1	2+	Likely
Goals	4%	4%	0%	none
Assists	11%	10%	1%	none

BRE · anytime attacking return

Thiago · likely starter48%goal 46% · assist 3%
≥1 1 2+ Likely
Goals 46% 33% 13% none
Assists 3% 3% 0% none
Anthony · probable43%goal 32% · assist 16%
≥1 1 2+ Likely
Goals 32% 26% 6% none
Assists 16% 15% 1% none
O.Dango · probable38%goal 9% · assist 32%
≥1 1 2+ Likely
Goals 9% 8% 0% none
Assists 32% 26% 6% none

	≥1	1	2+	Likely
Goals	46%	33%	13%	none
Assists	3%	3%	0%	none

	≥1	1	2+	Likely
Goals	32%	26%	6%	none
Assists	16%	15%	1%	none

	≥1	1	2+	Likely
Goals	9%	8%	0%	none
Assists	32%	26%	6%	none

• Probabilities, not odds — same λ as the player cards.
• Player count splits use that model; only fixture-level numbers are scored publicly today.

Top 3 from each squad

Ranked by projected points for this fixture, so the same player can rate differently in a different week.

Hull City

Pick 1

Tzolakis

HUL · Goalkeeper · Home

Projected

4.6 pts

Price

£4.7m

Owned

12.8%

Fixture

3/5

Pick 2

Belloumi

HUL · Midfielder · Home

Projected

4.2 pts

Price

£5.1m

Owned

5.2%

Fixture

3/5

Pick 3

Ajayi

HUL · Defender · Home

Projected

3.7 pts

Price

£4.2m

Owned

13.9%

Fixture

3/5

Brentford

Pick 1

Schade

BRE · Midfielder · Away

Projected

5.9 pts

Price

£6.2m

Owned

11.8%

Fixture

2/5

Pick 2

Schuster

BRE · Defender · Away

Projected

4.5 pts

Price

£4.5m

Owned

0.3%

Fixture

2/5

Pick 3

Janelt

BRE · Midfielder · Away

Projected

4.4 pts

Price

£5.0m

Owned

2.5%

Fixture

2/5

Also in Gameweek 8

Projections are ours, from deterministic code over public FPL data, and are re-derived against this specific fixture's difficulty - the same player will rate differently in an easier week. Not a guarantee. FPList is not affiliated with the Premier League or Fantasy Premier League.