Start probability
A model of how likely each player is to be in his manager's eleven, built from how often he has started and what FPL currently says about his fitness. Shown in bands, because the evidence does not support decimal places.
Expensive, widely owned, and not certain to start - ranked by how many squads the risk actually touches. The cyan bar is modelled chance to start; ownership sits beside it so you can see how widely the risk lands. A cheap defender at 30% affects nobody; a premium forward owned by a fifth of the game is a decision millions of managers have to make.
Players who are already out or suspended are included rather than filtered away. They are not doubts - there is nothing uncertain about them - but a widely owned player who cannot play is the most expensive thing on this page, so leaving him off would hide the very case that matters most.
PlayerChance to startOwned
The enabler search. A cheap pick is only worth the slot if he starts - the cyan bar is that modelled chance; price sits beside it. One who plays twenty games costs you a bench place every other week, which is worse than paying more in the first place.
PlayerChance to startPrice
Where all 573 players sit. The size of the unknown group is the point: a new signing or a promoted club's squad has no minutes in this league, so there is nothing to read and the model says so instead of guessing.
Per-club breakdowns sit on each club page, where the whole squad is ranked together.