Match climateiBoth sides' expected goals added together, banded low / medium / high.

High

3.2 expected goals in total

• 0–117%
• 2–343%
• 4+40%

Both teams' expected goals added together, then split into 0-1, 2-3, and 4+ total goals.

Clean sheetsie^-λ on the goals we expect the opponent to score. The same number the goalkeeper's card publishes.

• LIV31%
• BHA13%

Matches the goalkeepers' cards by construction.

Teams to scorei1 - e^-λ on the goals we expect that side to score.

Both to score: 60%iChance each side scores at least once, multiplied — goals assumed independent.

LIV · anytime attacking returniThe player's expected goal involvements per 90, scaled by expected minutes and fixture difficulty.

• Isak · probable49%goal 48% · assist 1%iThat same rate split by the player's season xG:xA share, so neither can exceed the return.

  	≥1	1	2+	Likely
  Goals	48%	34%	14%	none
  Assists	1%	1%	0%	none

• Gakpo · probable42%goal 14% · assist 33%iThat same rate split by the player's season xG:xA share, so neither can exceed the return.

  	≥1	1	2+	Likely
  Goals	14%	13%	1%	none
  Assists	33%	27%	6%	none

• Ngumoha · probable40%goal 32% · assist 12%iThat same rate split by the player's season xG:xA share, so neither can exceed the return.

  	≥1	1	2+	Likely
  Goals	32%	26%	6%	none
  Assists	12%	11%	1%	none

BHA · anytime attacking returniThe player's expected goal involvements per 90, scaled by expected minutes and fixture difficulty.

• Yalcouyé · probable47%goal 38% · assist 14%iThat same rate split by the player's season xG:xA share, so neither can exceed the return.

  	≥1	1	2+	Likely
  Goals	38%	30%	9%	none
  Assists	14%	13%	1%	none

• Groß · likely starter41%goal 30% · assist 16%iThat same rate split by the player's season xG:xA share, so neither can exceed the return.

  	≥1	1	2+	Likely
  Goals	30%	25%	5%	none
  Assists	16%	15%	1%	none

• De Cuyper · probable36%goal 27% · assist 13%iThat same rate split by the player's season xG:xA share, so neither can exceed the return.

  	≥1	1	2+	Likely
  Goals	27%	23%	4%	none
  Assists	13%	12%	1%	none