Chelsea · Forward · 35 · joined 2026

Welbeck

Danny Welbeck

Price
£6.0m
Owned
2.7%
Last season
126 pts
Projected next4.1 ptsOur xP for the upcoming fixture
Return chance41%Goal or assist
DefCon3%Chance of the 2 defensive-contribution points
Value21.0 pts/£mLast season's points per million
Rotation risk32%1 − last season's start share

Profile

Percentile against other forwards - the only fair comparison.

Threat803Creativity310Influence579Points/game3.4Value21.0Form0.0

Per 90 minutes

xG per 90

Expected goals

0.49
xA per 90

Expected assists

0.06
xGI per 90

Goals + assists expected

0.55
DefCon per 90

CBIT, plus recoveries for MID and FWD

4.48
xGC per 90

Expected goals conceded while on the pitch

1.27
Clean sheets per 90

Rate, not total

0.40
BPS per 90

Bonus point system score

20.45

Finishing vs expectation

Finishing within 0.6 of expectation - output and process broadly agree.

Next 6 gameweeks

GW1FUL A4.1GW2BHA H4.4GW3ARS A3.5GW4HUL H4.4GW5BRE A4.1GW6BOU H4.1
Welbeck's run - 24.6 ptsprojected across 6 fixtures. Cell colour is difficulty; bar height is our projection.

Price and demand

Price now

Started at £6.0m

£6.0m
Change so far

0.0% of the way to the next move

+0.0m
Demand pressure

−1 falling, +1 rising. Thin pre-season, before transfer traffic starts.

+0.00
Ownership rank

2.7% of squads

#105
Net transfers

No transfer traffic yet this gameweek

+0

Our number vs FPL's

FPList

4.1

+2.1

FPL's own

2.0

FPL publishes its own expected points. We show both, because a model that never beats the free one built into the game has earned nothing. Which of us is closer is settled on the report card, not here.

Rank among forwards

69 players share this position.

Points per game

3.4 per appearance

11 of 69
Threat

Goal route

8 of 69
Creativity

Assist route

9 of 69
Influence

Overall involvement

7 of 69
ICT index

The three combined

6 of 69
Value

Points per £m, all positions

#57 overall

Role and routes, per 90

Season totals reward playing time as much as quality. These are rates - FPL publishes only the totals.

Threat / 90

Shot volume and quality of position

32.1
Creativity / 90

Chance creation

12.4
Influence / 90

Match-affecting actions

23.2

Last season, in full

Minutes
2249
Starts
26
Goals
13
Assists
1
Clean sheets
10
Goals conceded
28
Saves
0
Bonus
18
BPS
511
ICT index
168.2
Yellow cards
5
Red cards
0
Own goals
0
Penalties missed
2
Penalties saved
0

Projections and probabilities are ours, from deterministic code over public FPL data. Season totals are last season's. Not a guarantee. FPList is not affiliated with the Premier League or Fantasy Premier League.